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ABI Research報告:新冠肺炎大流行延遲工業5G的商用推廣

ABI Research Report: Commercial rollout of industrial 5G delayed by pandemic disruptions
ABI Research報告:新冠疫情大流行延遲工業5G的商用推廣

The COVID-19 pandemic has forced a delay in the crucial standardization work that would make 5G available for enterprise use cases. The relevant standardization body, 3GPP, has formally announced a deferral of this standardization until at least June 2020, which would delay commercial rollout of industrial 5G until at least 2022. Given that most industrial enterprises are looking to upgrade their communication technology in 2021, this delay will result in 5G missing out on at least 25% of the revenue opportunities within industrial enterprises, which given the importance of industrial use cases for overall 5G revenues, this translates into 5G losing up to 10% of total 5G revenues. In the long-run, this could result in a shortfall of several U.S. billion dollars in contribution to the global economy, states global tech market advisory firm, ABI Research.

新冠肺炎迫使部署5G用于企業應用的關鍵標準化工作推遲。相關的標準化機構3GPP已正式宣布將該標準化推遲至2020年6月,這將把工業5G的商業推廣至少推遲到2022年。鑒于大多數工業企業都希望在2021年升級其通信技術,這一延遲將導致5G失去工業企業至少25%的收入機會,考慮到工業應用對5G總體收入的重要性,這意味著5G損失了5G總收入的10%。全球技術市場咨詢公司ABI Research指出,從長遠來看,這可能會導致全球經濟貢獻減少幾十億美元。

“This is a blow to the standards bodies and the timeline of 5G,” says Leo Gergs, Principal Analyst at ABI Research. “The cancellation of leading industry events, such as Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, caused more complicated workflows for the 3GPP. As a result, the freeze of Release 16 (which is of key importance for 5G applications in industrial and logistics environments) has been delayed until June. This would, in turn, push the rollout of 5G into warehouses, shipping ports, and factory floors until at least 2022.”

ABI Research首席分析師Leo Gergs說:“這是對標準機構和5G時間線的一個打擊。諸如巴塞羅那世界移動大會等領先行業活動的取消,導致3GPP的工作流程更加復雜。因此,對于工業和物流環境中5G應用至關重要的第16版的凍結已推遲到6月份。換句話說,這將使得推動5G在倉庫、航運港口和工廠車間的推廣,至少要等到2022年。”

Even though, in the short-term, this current pandemic is putting the timely enterprise rollout of 5G at risk (due to the delay in standardization framework), in the long-term, enterprise verticals will consider 5G for automating workflows in factories and other industrial environments in order to keep supply chain disruptions at a minimum. “However, we will also see 5G applications for life-critical verticals, such as agriculture/food production, to pick up pace, while a growing number of countries will consider enhancing their healthcare sector with 5G-enabled capabilities,” Gergs points out.

盡管從短期來看,當前疫情大流行使企業及時推出5G面臨風險(由于標準化框架的延遲),但從長期來看,企業垂直部門將考慮在工廠和其他工業環境中使用5G來實現工作流程自動化,以便將供應鏈中斷降至最低。 Gergs指出:“但是,我們也將看到5G應用在農業/食品生產等對生命至關重要的垂直行業中加速發展,同時越來越多的國家將考慮利用5G功能增強其醫療保健行業。”

Situations like these underline the importance of a technologically up-to-date healthcare system, as well as more automation in factories and production outlets. However, the current situation around COVID-19 will most probably induce a shift in the verticals that investigate 5G deployment. “While it puts 5G applications in industrial surroundings in a difficult position, current experiences will ignite considerations for 5G applications in healthcare and agriculture/food production. The telco ecosystem must prepare for this shift,” Gergs recommends.

諸如此類的情況突顯了醫療保健系統采納最新技術,以及工廠和生產網點自動化程度的重要性。不過,新冠肺炎的現狀很可能會導致研究5G部署的垂直市場發生轉變。“雖然這讓5G在工業環境中的應用陷入困境,但當前的經驗將激發對5G在醫療保健和農業/食品生產中的應用的考慮。電信業界必須為這一轉變做好準備,”Gergs建議。

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